Is TSLA a good long term investment?
Tesla Shares: A Fair Value Estimate
Analyst project a solid increase in 2025 to $4.13 a share. However, Wall Street has slashed projections from $5.27 at the end of last year and $6.90 at the end of February 2023. Meanwhile, actual Tesla earnings peaked in 2022 at $4.07 a share.
What will Tesla be worth in 2025? Projections for the TSLA rate in 2025 vary significantly among analysts, with estimates ranging from a stock price above $300 to $3,000 per share.
However, for those with a long-term investing horizon, Tesla remains an ideal growth stock. As Tesla management stated on its most recentearnings call the company is currently between two growth cycles.
This means that your $1,000 10 years ago — technically, $1,002 — would have bought 60 shares of Tesla. As of Mar. 3, 2024, those 60 shares of Tesla would be worth $12,158.40. That marks a 28.342% annual rate of return.
The next decade is going to be a tougher slog than the last 10 years. Tesla won't be a bust like Rivian and Lucid but I don't see it outperforming the market either. The share price will have to come down significantly from these levels to make TSLA stock a buy.
He forecasts Tesla stock to gain about 550% to hit $1,200 a share by 2030, and for SpaceX to triple in valuation over the same period, according to a recent interview conducted by Bloomberg. Baron runs the Baron Focused Growth Fund, which counted Tesla and SpaceX as its largest holdings as of December 31, 2023.
If you invested $10,000 with founder Elon Musk 10 years ago, your stake would be worth $2.1 million now. That works out to a more than 70% average annual return. The same $10,000 put into the S&P 500 during that time grew just 274% to $37,376.
Tesla (TSLA) stock is down more than 30% so far in 2024, but Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood thinks "now is not the time to run for the hills." In fact, Ark has been buying the stock and thinks it could rise to $2,000 per share in the next five years, representing an increase of more than 1,000% from today's levels.
To reach $500 by 2025, Tesla needs to just about double from these price levels. Given the kind of returns that it has delivered in the past – including the 743% rise in 2020 – the price level does not seem unreasonably astronomical, and could be achieved if Tesla delivers on the 50% shipment growth and FSD.
Will Tesla stock recover in 2024?
Tesla (TSLA) stock is angling lower in 2024, falling around 30% as analysts project 2024 vehicle deliveries could undercut last year's total with profit forecasts continuing to fall ahead of first-quarter earnings.
The life expectancy of a Tesla car can vary, but many Tesla owners report their vehicles lasting well over a decade with proper maintenance. Tesla's battery and drive unit warranty usually spans 8 years or a specified mileage limit, which can offer a useful guideline.
Key Takeaways. Shares of Tesla fell as Wells Fargo said the EV maker is likely to see no sales growth in 2024. The bank cut its rating on the stock to underweight and lowered its price target to $125 from $200. Tesla's struggling to sell cars even as it lowers prices in various markets, and that's affecting its profit.
Name | 10 Year Price Total Return |
---|---|
Consumer Discretionary | -60.5% |
Apple Inc | 929.9% |
Amazon.com Inc | 1,031.7% |
Tesla Inc | 1,048.0% |
- DaVita Inc. ( ticker: DVA)
- DraftKings Inc. ( DKNG)
- Extra Space Storage Inc. ( EXR)
- First Solar Inc. ( FSLR)
- Gen Digital Inc. ( GEN)
- Microsoft Corp. ( MSFT)
- Nvidia Corp. ( NVDA)
- SoFi Technologies Inc. ( SOFI)
If you invested in the company 10 years ago, that decision could have paid off. According to CNBC calculations, a $1,000 investment in Coca-Cola in 2009 would be worth more than $2,800 as of Feb. 15, 2019.
Tesla is set to remain the leader in the EV industry. If Tesla develops groundbreaking technologies, its business could look different 10 years from now. The stock still carries a premium valuation.
Average Price Target
Based on 35 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tesla in the last 3 months. The average price target is $196.72 with a high forecast of $320.00 and a low forecast of $23.53. The average price target represents a 18.06% change from the last price of $166.63.
2025 | 2040 | |
---|---|---|
TSLA stock forecast (5% annual growth) | $184 | $403 |
TSLA stock forecast (S&P 500 historical 11.13% ROI - last 50 yrs) | $195 | $1,056 |
TSLA stock forecast (QTEC historical 15.2% ROI - last 18 yrs) | $202 | $1,947 |
S.No. | Company | Industry/Sector |
---|---|---|
1. | Tata Consultancy Services Ltd | IT - Software |
2. | Infosys Ltd | IT - Software |
3. | Hindustan Unilever Ltd | FMCG |
4. | Reliance Industries Ltd | Refineries |
What will Tesla stock be worth in 2027?
The newest price target for Tesla shares for Tesla came in April 2023, with a call for the stock price to hit $2,000 in 2027 and the company's market capitalization to hit $4.4 trillion. The bear-and-bull case for Tesla stock from Ark Invest are $1,400 and $2,500, respectively, for the same time period.
If it maintains those valuations, meets analysts' expectations, and still trades at 35 times forward earnings by the beginning of fiscal 2027 (which starts in Jan. 2026), its stock might be worth $1,085 per share with a market cap of about $2.7 trillion by late 2025.
If you had invested in Netflix ten years ago, you're probably feeling pretty good about your investment today. According to our calculations, a $1000 investment made in February 2014 would be worth $9,138.15, or a gain of 813.81%, as of February 12, 2024, and this return excludes dividends but includes price increases.
A $1 investment in the company five years ago would leave you with $10.98 today. It gets progressively worse from there. As those numbers show, investing in Tesla over the last couple of years would have been a losing bet — and in the case of a year ago, a losing bet of more than one-third.
With all of this in mind — considering a $251.34 share price at the time of publication — an initial $1,000 investment on June 22, 2012, would be worth more than $1.73 million today. Tesla has revolutionized the electric vehicle market in 20 years.
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